The Pittsburgh Pirates face the Atlanta Braves with both teams looking to improve in the standings. The Pirates are 39-43 and with two losses in a row, they are in third place in the National League Central Division while the Braves have a 46-35 record and two wins in a row have them in second place in the National League East Division. To wrap up the series, the Pirates will turn to Bailey Falter as their starting pitcher who has allowed nine runs in his last three starts while the Braves will turn to Spencer Schwellenbach to start the game.
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Pirates hope Falter and lineup can end series strong
The Pirates are having a rough season and hope to end the month on a high note. Bailey Falter will start the upcoming game and he hopes to improve on a rough season on the mound as he's allowing 38 runs in 83.1 innings pitched. In addition, with a .277 expected opponent Batting Average, a .476 expected opponent Slugging Percentage, and a 4.90 expected ERA, opponents are making contact and powering the ball to easily drive in runs.
Falter has struggled but the lineup has let the Pirates down this season, scoring only 4.05 runs per game. Bryan Reynolds is slashing .279/.347/.469 with 13 home runs and 153 total bases while Nick Gonzales is slashing .282/.315/.442 with 69 total bases but the rest of the lineup has struggled. Only four batters have an OPS+ over 101 and opposing pitchers can eliminate the top-heavy lineup.
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Braves look to Schwellenbach and lineup to carry them
The Braves are having a great season and look to still catch up to first place in the division. Spencer Schwellenbach is one of their top pitching prospects and is having a great season on the mound, allowing only 16 runs in 26.2 innings pitched while tossing 25 strikeouts. Additionally, with a .374 expected opponent Slugging Percentage, a 1.3 Barrel Percentage, and a 3.70 expected ERA, opponents are making weak contact and struggling to drive in runs against Schwellenbach this season.
Schwellenbach has stepped up but the lineup has carried the Braves, scoring 4.38 runs per game with eight runs in the last two games. Marcell Ozuna is slashing .304/.386/.574 with 21 home runs and 170 total bases while Jarred Kelenic is slashing .278/.322/.449 with 97 total bases but the rest of the lineup has been great as well. Matt Olson is slashing .244/.321/.435 with 12 home runs and 130 total bases while Austin Riley and Travis d'Arnaud have added 16 home runs and 181 total bases to round out the lineup, making the Braves tough to put away at the plate.
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Best Bets for Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Atlanta Braves
Full-Game Side Bet
Insiders Status:
Rating:
The Pirates look to end this series on a high note but the Braves are having a great season and look to take over this game from the first inning. The Braves, who average 4.38 runs per game, should drive in runs at will with Marcell Ozuna, Matt Olson, and the rest of the lineup making contact and putting together strong plate appearances. The Braves should limit the Pirates lineup, which averages only 4.05 runs per game, with Spencer Schwellenbach pitching multiple strong innings to allow the bullpen to close out the game with a comfortable lead. The Braves should win the game and cover the spread in a dominant win at home.
Prediction: Braves -1.5 (-110)
Full-Game Total Pick
Insiders Status:
Rating:
The Braves are led by their lineup and this game looks to be a high-scoring game from the first pitch. The Pirates should constantly plate baserunners with Bryan Reynolds, Nick Gonzalez, and the rest of the lineup making contact and putting together strong plate appearances. The Braves, who have scored eight runs in the last two games, should run up the score against Bailey Falter, who has allowed nine runs in the last three starts, with Marcell Ozuna, Matt Olson, Austin Riley, and the rest of the lineup swinging for the fences and crushing pitches to circle the bases at will. The Over should cover in a high-scoring game with both lineups stepping up.
Take the Over on 8 runs.
Prediction: Over 8
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